San Diego Padres
NL West 3/5 · GB 1.5San Diego·Home stadium Petco Park·Park factor 95 (Pitcher-friendly)
Season Prediction Summary
Predicted Games
64
Predicted Win Rate
48%
31/64
Accuracy
66%
64 verified games
Avg SP FIP
4.19
Season Average Factor Values (14 factors = KBO 10 + Statcast 4)
SP FIP
4.19
Lineup wOBA
0.309
Bullpen FIP
4.19
Recent Form
68%
Elo
1510
Lineup xwOBA
0.317
Barrel%
8.2%
Batted-Ball Profile
Pull%
41.5%
Cent%
34.6%
Oppo%
23.9%
GB%
44.6%
FB%
37.0%
Hard-Hit%
40.7%
LD%
18.4%
IFFB%
9.7%
HR/FB%
12.0%
Avg Launch Angle
11.1°
Elo Rating Trend
Season Elo change by game · dotted line = league average
Upcoming Games · Predictions
All Predictions →| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Rays | Away | Opponent |
Recent Prediction History
Avg. run margin this season: 3.5 runs (64 games)
3 blowouts (10+ run margin) out of 64 games · 21 1-run games out of 64 games
3-2 in the last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Pirates | Home | This team(53%) | 3-0 | Correct |
| 2026-08-25 | Pirates | Home | This team(59%) | 0-1 | Wrong |
| 2026-08-24 | Pirates | Home | This team(59%) | 2-3 | Wrong |
| 2026-08-23 | Twins | Home | This team(70%) | 8-1 | Correct |
| 2026-08-22 | Twins | Home | This team(60%) | 7-5 | Correct |
| 2026-08-21 | Twins | Home | This team(60%) | 6-2 | Correct |
| 2026-08-19 | Mets | Away | Opponent(59%) | 2-4 | Correct |
| 2026-08-18 | Mets | Away | Opponent(60%) | 5-2 | Wrong |