Boston Red Sox
AL East 1/5Boston·Home stadium Fenway Park·Park factor 105 (Hitter-friendly)
Season Prediction Summary
Predicted Games
64
Predicted Win Rate
59%
38/64
Accuracy
50%
64 verified games
Avg SP FIP
3.66
Season Average Factor Values (14 factors = KBO 10 + Statcast 4)
SP FIP
3.66
Lineup wOBA
0.317
Bullpen FIP
3.66
Recent Form
63%
Elo
1532
Lineup xwOBA
0.311
Barrel%
7.3%
Batted-Ball Profile
Pull%
41.8%
Cent%
33.7%
Oppo%
24.5%
GB%
42.1%
FB%
38.4%
Hard-Hit%
36.4%
LD%
19.5%
IFFB%
11.3%
HR/FB%
10.4%
Avg Launch Angle
13.8°
Elo Rating Trend
Season Elo change by game · dotted line = league average
Upcoming Games · Predictions
All Predictions →| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Yankees | Away | Opponent |
Recent Prediction History
Avg. run margin this season: 3.6 runs (64 games)
4 blowouts (10+ run margin) out of 64 games · 16 1-run games out of 64 games
4-1 in the last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Marlins | Away | This team(65%) | 0-4 | Wrong |
| 2026-08-25 | Marlins | Away | This team(64%) | 7-3 | Correct |
| 2026-08-24 | Marlins | Away | This team(59%) | 4-2 | Correct |
| 2026-08-23 | Giants | Home | This team(83%) | 5-4 | Correct |
| 2026-08-22 | Giants | Home | This team(70%) | 3-2 | Correct |
| 2026-08-21 | Giants | Home | This team(70%) | 6-4 | Correct |
| 2026-08-19 | Diamondbacks | Home | This team(74%) | 6-7 | Wrong |
| 2026-08-18 | Diamondbacks | Home | This team(73%) | 9-4 | Correct |