Tampa Bay Rays
AL East 2/5 · GB 6.5St. Petersburg·Home stadium Tropicana Field·Park factor 95 (Pitcher-friendly)
Season Prediction Summary
Predicted Games
65
Predicted Win Rate
52%
34/65
Accuracy
51%
65 verified games
Avg SP FIP
4.04
Season Average Factor Values (14 factors = KBO 10 + Statcast 4)
SP FIP
4.04
Lineup wOBA
0.324
Bullpen FIP
4.04
Recent Form
35%
Elo
1525
Lineup xwOBA
0.307
Barrel%
5.8%
Batted-Ball Profile
Pull%
37.7%
Cent%
37.1%
Oppo%
25.3%
GB%
44.1%
FB%
37.2%
Hard-Hit%
34.4%
LD%
18.8%
IFFB%
12.9%
HR/FB%
10.5%
Avg Launch Angle
11.8°
Elo Rating Trend
Season Elo change by game · dotted line = league average
Upcoming Games · Predictions
All Predictions →| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Padres | Home | Opponent |
Recent Prediction History
Avg. run margin this season: 3.5 runs (65 games)
3 blowouts (10+ run margin) out of 65 games · 17 1-run games out of 65 games
3-2 in the last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Tigers | Away | This team(59%) | 3-0 | Correct |
| 2026-08-25 | Tigers | Away | Opponent(54%) | 1-4 | Correct |
| 2026-08-24 | Tigers | Away | Opponent(54%) | 4-1 | Wrong |
| 2026-08-23 | Orioles | Away | Opponent(62%) | 3-1 | Wrong |
| 2026-08-22 | Orioles | Away | Opponent(55%) | 2-3 | Correct |
| 2026-08-21 | Orioles | Away | Opponent(55%) | 3-5 | Correct |
| 2026-08-20 | Blue Jays | Home | This team(55%) | 1-5 | Wrong |
| 2026-08-19 | Blue Jays | Home | This team(55%) | 7-6 | Correct |