LAD vs SDP
SP Nick Pivetta vs Tyler Glasnow
Final: SDP 4 - 2 LAD
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (5.2pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.4pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4.3pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (0.4pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.5pp).
Situational — Dodgers has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Dodgers has the edge in Recent Form (5pp). Dodgers has the edge in Head-to-Head (0.6pp).
Combining 10 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Dodgers ahead by 48pp.
10 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (5.2pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution +5.2pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.4pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution +1.4pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4.3pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution +4.3pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Dodgers win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Padres @ Dodgers · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 16h before game time