LAD vs SDP
Final: SDP 5 - 2 LAD
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (2.4pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (1pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1.3pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (0.6pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.6pp).
Situational — Dodgers has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Dodgers ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 3.99 / 4.19
- SP xFIP
- 3.91 / 4.26
- Bullpen FIP
- 3.99 / 4.19
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.335 / 0.309
- WAR
- 21.71 / 13.94
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.34 / 0.317
- Barrel%
- 8.8 / 8.2
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Dodgers win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Padres @ Dodgers · final [15%, 85%] clamp