ATL vs LAD
SP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Chris Sale
Final: LAD 0 - 1 ATL
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (2.3pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (1.9pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (0.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.6pp).
Situational — Braves has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Dodgers has the edge in Recent Form (15pp). Braves has the edge in Head-to-Head (1.5pp). Dodgers has the edge in Elo (0.1pp). Braves has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 10 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Dodgers ahead by 30pp.
10 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (2.3pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -2.3pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.7pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -0.7pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (1.9pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -1.9pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Braves win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Dodgers @ Braves · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 13h before game time