ATL vs LAD
SP Tyler Glasnow vs Bryce Elder
Final: LAD 3 - 4 ATL
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (2.2pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.6pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (1.8pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.9pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (0.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.5pp).
Situational — Braves has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Dodgers has the edge in Recent Form (20pp). Dodgers has the edge in Elo (0.1pp). Braves has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 9 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Dodgers ahead by 42pp.
9 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (2.2pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -2.2pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.6pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -0.6pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (1.8pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -1.8pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.9pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Braves win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Dodgers @ Braves · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 13h before game time