CLE vs SDP

CLE 62%

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (3.5pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1.1pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.9pp).

Batting & Roster — Padres has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.3pp). Padres has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp). Padres has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).

Situational — Guardians has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Guardians ahead by 25pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP: 3.9 / 4.19
SP xFIP: 3.89 / 4.26
Bullpen FIP: 3.9 / 4.19
Lineup wOBA: 0.303 / 0.309
WAR: 13.5 / 14.09
Lineup xwOBA: 0.305 / 0.317
Barrel%: 6.3 / 8.2

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Guardians win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

Padres @ Guardians · final [15%, 85%] clamp