COL vs TBR
Final: TBR 9 - 7 COL
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Rays has the edge in SP FIP (9.6pp). Rays has the edge in SP xFIP (2.2pp). Rays has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8pp).
Batting & Roster — Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp). Rays has the edge in WAR (0.9pp). Rockies has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).
Situational — Rockies has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Rockies ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.83 / 4.03
- SP xFIP
- 4.71 / 3.99
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.83 / 4.03
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.326 / 0.324
- WAR
- 7.08 / 18.53
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.309 / 0.307
- Barrel%
- 6.7 / 5.8
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rockies win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Rays @ Rockies · final [15%, 85%] clamp