CHW vs DET
SP Framber Valdez vs Erick Fedde
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Tigers has the edge in SP FIP (3pp). Tigers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.7pp). Tigers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.5pp).
Batting & Roster — White Sox has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp). White Sox has the edge in WAR (0.3pp). Tigers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).
Situational — White Sox has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). White Sox has the edge in Recent Form (15pp). Tigers has the edge in Elo (0.5pp). White Sox has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 10 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with White Sox ahead by 29pp.
10 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Tigers has the edge in SP FIP (3pp).
Tigers edge · contribution -3pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Tigers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.7pp).
Tigers edge · contribution -0.7pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Tigers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.5pp).
Tigers edge · contribution -2.5pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%White Sox has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final White Sox win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Tigers @ White Sox · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 13h before game time