DET vs CHW

DET 64%

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Tigers has the edge in SP FIP (4.3pp). Tigers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.8pp). Tigers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (3.6pp).

Batting & Roster — White Sox has the edge in WAR (0.1pp). Tigers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).

Situational — Tigers has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). White Sox has the edge in Park Factor (0.2pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Tigers ahead by 28pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP: 3.85 / 4.21
SP xFIP: 4.04 / 4.32
Bullpen FIP: 3.85 / 4.21
Lineup wOBA: 0.32 / 0.32
WAR: 15.67 / 17
Lineup xwOBA: 0.32 / 0.318
Barrel%: 8.6 / 8.4

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Tigers win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

White Sox @ Tigers · final [15%, 85%] clamp