LAA vs CLE
SP Joey Cantillo vs Grayson Rodriguez
Final: CLE 4 - 3 LAA
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (3.7pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (3.1pp).
Batting & Roster — Guardians has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp). Guardians has the edge in WAR (0.4pp). Angels has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — Angels has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Guardians has the edge in Recent Form (15pp). Guardians has the edge in Head-to-Head (1.5pp). Guardians has the edge in Elo (0.2pp).
Combining 10 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Guardians ahead by 39pp.
10 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (3.7pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -3.7pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -1pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (3.1pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -3.1pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Guardians has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Angels win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Guardians @ Angels · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 10h before game time