COL vs LAD
Final: LAD 7 - 6 COL
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (10.3pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (2.5pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8.6pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (1.1pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — Rockies has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Dodgers ahead by 35pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (10.3pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -10.3pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (2.5pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -2.5pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8.6pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -8.6pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rockies win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Dodgers @ Rockies · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: v1.0 · debate version v1-narrative