SP FIP
weight 12%Dodgers 3.96vsRockies 4.82
Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (10.3pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -10.3pp
COL vs LAD
LAD 68%
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (10.3pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (2.5pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8.6pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (1.1pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — Rockies has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Dodgers ahead by 35pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP xFIP
weight 3%Dodgers 3.90vsRockies 4.72
Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (2.5pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -2.5pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Dodgers 3.96vsRockies 4.82
Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8.6pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -8.6pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Dodgers 0.333vsRockies 0.325
Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -0.4pp
WAR
weight 8%Dodgers 21.3vsRockies 7.2
Dodgers has the edge in WAR (1.1pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -1.1pp
Lineup xwOBA
weight 5%Dodgers 0.338vsRockies 0.310
Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.7pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -0.7pp
Barrel%
weight 3%Dodgers 8.8%vsRockies 6.7%
Dodgers has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution -0.1pp
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rockies win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Dodgers @ Rockies · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Recent Meetings (Dodgers vs Rockies)
Last 3 games — our model's prediction vs actual result