COL vs LAD

LAD 67%

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (10.2pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (2.4pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8.5pp).

Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (1.2pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.8pp). Dodgers has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).

Situational — Rockies has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.6pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Dodgers ahead by 35pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP: 4.83 / 3.98
SP xFIP: 4.72 / 3.91
Bullpen FIP: 4.83 / 3.98
Lineup wOBA: 0.324 / 0.333
WAR: 6.87 / 21.45
Lineup xwOBA: 0.309 / 0.339
Barrel%: 6.7 / 8.8

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rockies win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

Dodgers @ Rockies · final [15%, 85%] clamp