SDP vs MIL
Final: MIL 2 - 3 SDP
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Brewers has the edge in SP FIP (7.2pp). Brewers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.8pp). Brewers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (6pp).
Batting & Roster — Brewers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.7pp). Brewers has the edge in WAR (0.2pp). Brewers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).
Situational — Padres has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Brewers has the edge in Park Factor (0.2pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Padres ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.19 / 3.59
- SP xFIP
- 4.26 / 3.67
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.19 / 3.59
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.309 / 0.323
- WAR
- 13.94 / 16.41
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.317 / 0.32
- Barrel%
- 8.2 / 7.5
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Padres win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Brewers @ Padres · final [15%, 85%] clamp