SFG vs DET
Final: DET 3 - 1 SFG
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Tigers has the edge in SP FIP (4.2pp). Tigers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.1pp). Tigers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (3.5pp).
Batting & Roster — Tigers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Tigers has the edge in WAR (0.4pp). Tigers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp).
Situational — Giants has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Tigers has the edge in Park Factor (0.3pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Giants ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Tigers has the edge in SP FIP (4.2pp).
Tigers edge · contribution -4.2pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Tigers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.1pp).
Tigers edge · contribution -1.1pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Tigers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (3.5pp).
Tigers edge · contribution -3.5pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Tigers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Giants win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Tigers @ Giants · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: v1.0 · debate version v1-narrative