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MoneyBallScore

SFG vs DET

SFG 56%

Final: DET 8 - 0 SFG

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Tigers has the edge in SP FIP (4.2pp). Tigers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.1pp). Tigers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (3.5pp).

Batting & Roster — Tigers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Tigers has the edge in WAR (0.4pp). Tigers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp).

Situational — Giants has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Tigers has the edge in Park Factor (0.3pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Giants ahead by 11pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP
4.16 / 3.81
SP xFIP
4.38 / 4.02
Bullpen FIP
4.16 / 3.81
Lineup wOBA
0.311 / 0.32
WAR
10.45 / 15.12
Lineup xwOBA
0.308 / 0.321
Barrel%
7.2 / 8.6

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Giants win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

Tigers @ Giants · final [15%, 85%] clamp