CHW vs CLE
Final: CLE 3 - 5 CHW
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (3.1pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1.2pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.6pp).
Batting & Roster — White Sox has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.7pp). White Sox has the edge in WAR (0.2pp). White Sox has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp). White Sox has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — White Sox has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). White Sox has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with White Sox ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.16 / 3.9
- SP xFIP
- 4.3 / 3.9
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.16 / 3.9
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.318 / 0.304
- WAR
- 15.73 / 13.67
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.317 / 0.305
- Barrel%
- 8.4 / 6.3
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final White Sox win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Guardians @ White Sox · final [15%, 85%] clamp