CHW vs CLE
Final: CLE 3 - 6 CHW
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (3.1pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1.2pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.6pp).
Batting & Roster — White Sox has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.7pp). White Sox has the edge in WAR (0.2pp). White Sox has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp). White Sox has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — White Sox has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). White Sox has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with White Sox ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (3.1pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -3.1pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1.2pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -1.2pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.6pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -2.6pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%White Sox has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.7pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final White Sox win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Guardians @ White Sox · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: v1.0 · debate version v1-narrative