BOS vs CHW
Final: CHW 11 - 12 BOS
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Red Sox has the edge in SP FIP (6pp). Red Sox has the edge in SP xFIP (1.5pp). Red Sox has the edge in Bullpen FIP (5pp).
Batting & Roster — White Sox has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp). White Sox has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.2pp).
Situational — Red Sox has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Red Sox has the edge in Park Factor (0.2pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Red Sox ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 3.66 / 4.16
- SP xFIP
- 3.79 / 4.3
- Bullpen FIP
- 3.66 / 4.16
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.317 / 0.318
- WAR
- 15.32 / 15.73
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.311 / 0.317
- Barrel%
- 7.3 / 8.4
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Red Sox win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
White Sox @ Red Sox · final [15%, 85%] clamp