TOR vs TBR
Final: TBR 7 - 1 TOR
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Blue Jays has the edge in SP FIP (0.7pp). Rays has the edge in SP xFIP (0.1pp). Blue Jays has the edge in Bullpen FIP (0.6pp).
Batting & Roster — Rays has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1.2pp). Rays has the edge in WAR (0.5pp). Rays has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp).
Situational — Blue Jays has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Blue Jays ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 3.97 / 4.03
- SP xFIP
- 4.04 / 3.99
- Bullpen FIP
- 3.97 / 4.03
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.3 / 0.324
- WAR
- 12.11 / 18.53
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.294 / 0.307
- Barrel%
- 5.9 / 5.8
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Blue Jays win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Rays @ Blue Jays · final [15%, 85%] clamp