ATL vs SDP
Final: SDP 2 - 3 ATL
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Braves has the edge in SP FIP (1.2pp). Braves has the edge in SP xFIP (0.5pp). Braves has the edge in Bullpen FIP (1pp).
Batting & Roster — Braves has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.6pp). Braves has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).
Situational — Braves has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Braves has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Braves ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.09 / 4.19
- SP xFIP
- 4.08 / 4.26
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.09 / 4.19
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.321 / 0.309
- WAR
- 14.38 / 13.94
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.32 / 0.317
- Barrel%
- 9 / 8.2
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Braves win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Padres @ Braves · final [15%, 85%] clamp