SFG vs COL
Final: COL 1 - 3 SFG
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Giants has the edge in SP FIP (8pp). Giants has the edge in SP xFIP (1pp). Giants has the edge in Bullpen FIP (6.7pp).
Batting & Roster — Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp). Giants has the edge in WAR (0.3pp).
Situational — Giants has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.3pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Giants ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Giants has the edge in SP FIP (8pp).
Giants edge · contribution +8pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Giants has the edge in SP xFIP (1pp).
Giants edge · contribution +1pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Giants has the edge in Bullpen FIP (6.7pp).
Giants edge · contribution +6.7pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Giants win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Rockies @ Giants · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: v1.0 · debate version v1-narrative