SFG vs COL
Final: COL 2 - 4 SFG
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Giants has the edge in SP FIP (8pp). Giants has the edge in SP xFIP (1pp). Giants has the edge in Bullpen FIP (6.7pp).
Batting & Roster — Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp). Giants has the edge in WAR (0.3pp).
Situational — Giants has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.3pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Giants ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.16 / 4.83
- SP xFIP
- 4.38 / 4.71
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.16 / 4.83
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.311 / 0.326
- WAR
- 10.45 / 7.08
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.308 / 0.309
- Barrel%
- 7.2 / 6.7
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Giants win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Rockies @ Giants · final [15%, 85%] clamp