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MoneyBallScore

Cincinnati Reds Statcast

NL Central

Cincinnati·Home stadium Great American Ball Park·Park factor 110

This page = Statcast 4 factor (xwOBA · Barrel% · Hard Hit% · Launch Angle) deep-dive layer. Season stat summary = /en/mlb/team/CIN.

Team Statcast 4 Factors (Measurement ETA)

Currently shown = factor definitions + ranges. Team season measurements (Baseball Savant aggregates) integration ETA carry-over. Measurement layer = `mlb-base.ts` factor pipeline + `baseball-savant.ts` scraper.

  1. 1. Expected wOBA (xwOBA)

    0.250 ~ 0.420

    Measurement ETA

    Expected wOBA estimated from launch angle + exit velocity. Removes luck (defense / ballpark / weather) to measure true contact quality.

    Why it matters: Eliminates result noise from wOBA → more meaningful in small samples.

  2. 2. Barrel %

    0% ~ 25%

    Measurement ETA

    Barrel = minimum launch angle + exit velocity threshold met = avg .500+ AVG / 1.500+ SLG expected. Percentage per plate appearance.

    Why it matters: Hard contact frequency = raw signal for home run + extra-base production capacity.

  3. 3. Hard Hit %

    20% ~ 55%

    Measurement ETA

    Share of batted balls at 95 mph+ exit velocity. Lower threshold than Barrel = larger sample, more stable signal.

    Why it matters: 95+ mph exit velocity sharply increases hit probability. Primary input axis for xwOBA.

  4. 4. Launch Angle

    -30° ~ +50°

    Measurement ETA

    Average batted ball launch angle. 10–25° = line drives / 25–35° = fly ball sweet spot.

    Why it matters: The angle axis of Barrel. Same exit velocity produces different outcomes based on angle.

Individual Player Statcast Deep-Dive (ETA late 2026 season)

Individual Statcast layer in progress

Per-player statsapi.mlb / Baseball Savant roster + Statcast scrape not yet integrated.
ETA = after MLB full ingestion decision (user domain). Progress = /en/mlb/factors 14-factor model layer reference.

※ Statcast data source: Baseball Savant (MLB Advanced Media). Scraper: packages/kbo-data/src/scrapers/baseball-savant.ts.

※ Live player performance metrics integration coming soon.