CHW vs COL
SP Tomoyuki Sugano vs Sean Burke
Final: COL 1 - 6 CHW
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — White Sox has the edge in SP FIP (6.8pp). White Sox has the edge in SP xFIP (1pp). White Sox has the edge in Bullpen FIP (5.7pp).
Batting & Roster — Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.2pp). White Sox has the edge in WAR (1.1pp). White Sox has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp). White Sox has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — White Sox has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). White Sox has the edge in Recent Form (15pp). White Sox has the edge in Elo (0.3pp). White Sox has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 9 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with White Sox ahead by 70pp.
9 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%White Sox has the edge in SP FIP (6.8pp).
White Sox edge · contribution +6.8pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%White Sox has the edge in SP xFIP (1pp).
White Sox edge · contribution +1pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%White Sox has the edge in Bullpen FIP (5.7pp).
White Sox edge · contribution +5.7pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.2pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final White Sox win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Rockies @ White Sox · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 13h before game time