ATH vs LAA
SP Walbert Ureña vs Jeffrey Springs
Final: LAA 3 - 7 ATH
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Angels has the edge in SP FIP (9.7pp). Angels has the edge in SP xFIP (1.3pp). Angels has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8.1pp).
Batting & Roster — Athletics has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp). Athletics has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.2pp).
Situational — Athletics has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Athletics has the edge in Recent Form (5pp). Angels has the edge in Head-to-Head (0.2pp). Angels has the edge in Elo (0.6pp). Angels has the edge in Park Factor (0.2pp).
Combining 10 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Angels ahead by 17pp.
10 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Angels has the edge in SP FIP (9.7pp).
Angels edge · contribution -9.7pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Angels has the edge in SP xFIP (1.3pp).
Angels edge · contribution -1.3pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Angels has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8.1pp).
Angels edge · contribution -8.1pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Athletics has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Athletics win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Angels @ Athletics · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 15h before game time