LAD vs SFG
SP Yunior Marte vs Tarik Skubal
Final: SFG 4 - 10 LAD
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (4.8pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.8pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (0.8pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.7pp).
Situational — Dodgers has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Dodgers has the edge in Elo (0.6pp).
Combining 9 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Dodgers ahead by 39pp.
9 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (4.8pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution +4.8pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.8pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution +1.8pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4pp).
Dodgers edge · contribution +4pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Dodgers win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Giants @ Dodgers · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 15h before game time