COL vs STL
SP Andre Pallante vs Ryan Feltner
Final: STL 7 - 6 COL
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Cardinals has the edge in SP FIP (8.5pp). Cardinals has the edge in SP xFIP (1.6pp). Cardinals has the edge in Bullpen FIP (7.1pp).
Batting & Roster — Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp). Cardinals has the edge in WAR (0.6pp). Cardinals has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp).
Situational — Rockies has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Cardinals has the edge in Head-to-Head (0.5pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.6pp).
Combining 10 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Cardinals ahead by 24pp.
10 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Cardinals has the edge in SP FIP (8.5pp).
Cardinals edge · contribution -8.5pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Cardinals has the edge in SP xFIP (1.6pp).
Cardinals edge · contribution -1.6pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Cardinals has the edge in Bullpen FIP (7.1pp).
Cardinals edge · contribution -7.1pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rockies win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Cardinals @ Rockies · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 14h before game time