CLE vs TOR
SP Dylan Cease vs Joey Cantillo
Final: TOR 11 - 0 CLE
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (0.5pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (0.4pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (0.4pp).
Batting & Roster — Guardians has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp). Guardians has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.2pp).
Situational — Guardians has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Guardians has the edge in Recent Form (10pp). Blue Jays has the edge in Elo (0.4pp).
Combining 9 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Guardians ahead by 33pp.
9 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (0.5pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +0.5pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (0.4pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +0.4pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (0.4pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +0.4pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Guardians has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Guardians win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Blue Jays @ Guardians · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 12h before game time