CLE vs KCR
SP Michael Wacha vs Tanner Bibee
Final: KCR 3 - 0 CLE
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (8.8pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (2pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (7.3pp).
Batting & Roster — Royals has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp). Royals has the edge in WAR (0.1pp). Royals has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.2pp). Royals has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — Guardians has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Royals has the edge in Recent Form (5pp).
Combining 9 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Guardians ahead by 36pp.
9 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (8.8pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +8.8pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (2pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +2pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (7.3pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +7.3pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Royals has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Guardians win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Royals @ Guardians · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: mlb_v0.1 · generated 13h before game time