SP FIP
weight 12%Guardians 3.95vsRockies 4.85
Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (10.8pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -10.8pp
COL vs CLE
CLE 66%
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (10.8pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (2.5pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (9pp).
Batting & Roster — Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1.1pp). Guardians has the edge in WAR (0.5pp). Rockies has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).
Situational — Rockies has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Guardians ahead by 31pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP xFIP
weight 3%Guardians 3.91vsRockies 4.74
Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (2.5pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -2.5pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Guardians 3.95vsRockies 4.85
Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (9pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -9pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Guardians 0.303vsRockies 0.324
Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1.1pp).
Rockies edge · contribution +1.1pp
WAR
weight 8%Guardians 13.6vsRockies 6.9
Guardians has the edge in WAR (0.5pp).
Guardians edge · contribution -0.5pp
Lineup xwOBA
weight 5%Guardians 0.304vsRockies 0.308
Rockies has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).
Rockies edge · contribution +0.1pp
Barrel%
weight 3%Guardians 6.2%vsRockies 6.6%
Negligible gap in Barrel%.
Even
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rockies win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Guardians @ Rockies · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Recent Meetings (Guardians vs Rockies)
Last 1 games — our model's prediction vs actual result