SP FIP
weight 12%Angels 4.24vsRangers 4.16
Rangers has the edge in SP FIP (1pp).
Rangers edge · contribution +1pp
TEX vs LAA
TEX 59%
Final: LAA 1 - 2 TEX
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Rangers has the edge in SP FIP (1pp). Rangers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.4pp). Rangers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (0.8pp).
Batting & Roster — Rangers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Rangers has the edge in WAR (0.6pp).
Situational — Rangers has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Rangers ahead by 18pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP xFIP
weight 3%Angels 4.24vsRangers 4.10
Rangers has the edge in SP xFIP (0.4pp).
Rangers edge · contribution +0.4pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Angels 4.24vsRangers 4.16
Rangers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (0.8pp).
Rangers edge · contribution +0.8pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Angels 0.303vsRangers 0.313
Rangers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp).
Rangers edge · contribution +0.5pp
WAR
weight 8%Angels 7.2vsRangers 14.4
Rangers has the edge in WAR (0.6pp).
Rangers edge · contribution +0.6pp
Lineup xwOBA
weight 5%Angels 0.304vsRangers 0.305
Negligible gap in Lineup xwOBA.
Even
Barrel%
weight 3%Angels 7.9%vsRangers 7.3%
Negligible gap in Barrel%.
Even
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rangers win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Angels @ Rangers · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Recent Meetings (Angels vs Rangers)
Last 3 games — our model's prediction vs actual result