COL vs CLE

CLE 66%

Final: CLE 9 - 1 COL

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (10.8pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (2.5pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (9pp).

Batting & Roster — Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1.1pp). Guardians has the edge in WAR (0.5pp). Rockies has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).

Situational — Rockies has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.6pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Guardians ahead by 31pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP

weight 12%

Guardians 3.95vsRockies 4.85

Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (10.8pp).

Guardians edge · contribution -10.8pp

SP xFIP

weight 3%

Guardians 3.91vsRockies 4.74

Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (2.5pp).

Guardians edge · contribution -2.5pp

Bullpen FIP

weight 10%

Guardians 3.95vsRockies 4.85

Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (9pp).

Guardians edge · contribution -9pp

Lineup wOBA

weight 10%

Guardians 0.303vsRockies 0.324

Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1.1pp).

Rockies edge · contribution +1.1pp

WAR

weight 8%

Guardians 13.6vsRockies 6.9

Guardians has the edge in WAR (0.5pp).

Guardians edge · contribution -0.5pp

Lineup xwOBA

weight 5%

Guardians 0.304vsRockies 0.308

Rockies has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).

Rockies edge · contribution +0.1pp

Barrel%

weight 3%

Guardians 6.3%vsRockies 6.6%

Negligible gap in Barrel%.

Even

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rockies win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

Guardians @ Rockies · final [15%, 85%] clamp