CLE vs SFG
Final: SFG 1 - 8 CLE
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (2.6pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1.4pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.2pp).
Batting & Roster — Giants has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp). Guardians has the edge in WAR (0.2pp). Giants has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.2pp).
Situational — Guardians has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a clear edge with Guardians ahead by 23pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (2.6pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +2.6pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1.4pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +1.4pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.2pp).
Guardians edge · contribution +2.2pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Giants has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Guardians win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Giants @ Guardians · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: v1.0 · debate version v1-narrative