LAD vs KCR
Final: KCR 4 - 5 LAD
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (8.5pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.9pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (7.1pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1.3pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (0.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.8pp).
Situational — Dodgers has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Dodgers ahead by 12pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 3.99 / 4.7
- SP xFIP
- 3.91 / 4.55
- Bullpen FIP
- 3.99 / 4.7
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.335 / 0.31
- WAR
- 21.71 / 12.86
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.34 / 0.31
- Barrel%
- 8.8 / 7.9
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Dodgers win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Royals @ Dodgers · final [15%, 85%] clamp