ARI vs COL
Final: COL 3 - 2 ARI
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Diamondbacks has the edge in SP FIP (5.8pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in SP xFIP (0.7pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4.8pp).
Batting & Roster — Rockies has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.7pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in WAR (0.5pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).
Situational — Diamondbacks has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Diamondbacks ahead by 12pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.35 / 4.83
- SP xFIP
- 4.49 / 4.71
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.35 / 4.83
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.313 / 0.326
- WAR
- 13.57 / 7.08
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.313 / 0.309
- Barrel%
- 7 / 6.7
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Diamondbacks win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Rockies @ Diamondbacks · final [15%, 85%] clamp