CLE vs ARI

CLE 56%

Final: ARI 4 - 1 CLE

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (5.4pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1.8pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4.5pp).

Batting & Roster — Diamondbacks has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.2pp).

Situational — Guardians has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Guardians ahead by 11pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP: 3.9 / 4.35
SP xFIP: 3.9 / 4.49
Bullpen FIP: 3.9 / 4.35
Lineup wOBA: 0.304 / 0.313
WAR: 13.67 / 13.57
Lineup xwOBA: 0.305 / 0.313
Barrel%: 6.3 / 7

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Guardians win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

Diamondbacks @ Guardians · final [15%, 85%] clamp