SFG vs MIL
Final: MIL 3 - 16 SFG
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Brewers has the edge in SP FIP (6.8pp). Brewers has the edge in SP xFIP (2.1pp). Brewers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (5.7pp).
Batting & Roster — Brewers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.6pp). Brewers has the edge in WAR (0.5pp). Brewers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp).
Situational — Giants has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Brewers has the edge in Park Factor (0.3pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Giants ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.16 / 3.59
- SP xFIP
- 4.38 / 3.67
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.16 / 3.59
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.311 / 0.323
- WAR
- 10.45 / 16.41
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.308 / 0.32
- Barrel%
- 7.2 / 7.5
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Giants win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Brewers @ Giants · final [15%, 85%] clamp