LAA vs HOU
Final: HOU 7 - 4 LAA
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Angels has the edge in SP FIP (5pp). Angels has the edge in SP xFIP (0.8pp). Angels has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4.2pp).
Batting & Roster — Astros has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp). Astros has the edge in WAR (0.7pp). Astros has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp).
Situational — Angels has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Angels ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
SP FIP
weight 12%Angels has the edge in SP FIP (5pp).
Angels edge · contribution +5pp
SP xFIP
weight 3%Angels has the edge in SP xFIP (0.8pp).
Angels edge · contribution +0.8pp
Bullpen FIP
weight 10%Angels has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4.2pp).
Angels edge · contribution +4.2pp
Lineup wOBA
weight 10%Astros has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.8pp).
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Angels win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Defense SFR is an unimplemented MLB placeholder (always neutral) and is omitted from this chart — Elo, recent form, and head-to-head are real per-team data.
Astros @ Angels · final [15%, 85%] clamp
Model metadata
Quant model: v1.0 · debate version v1-narrative