DET vs KCR

DET 56%

Final: KCR 5 - 4 DET

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Tigers has the edge in SP FIP (10.7pp). Tigers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.6pp). Tigers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (8.9pp).

Batting & Roster — Tigers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Tigers has the edge in WAR (0.2pp). Tigers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp).

Situational — Tigers has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Royals has the edge in Park Factor (0.2pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Tigers ahead by 11pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP: 3.81 / 4.7
SP xFIP: 4.02 / 4.55
Bullpen FIP: 3.81 / 4.7
Lineup wOBA: 0.32 / 0.31
WAR: 15.12 / 12.86
Lineup xwOBA: 0.321 / 0.31
Barrel%: 8.6 / 7.9

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Tigers win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

Royals @ Tigers · final [15%, 85%] clamp