COL vs WSN

COL 56%

Final: WSN 8 - 0 COL

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Nationals has the edge in SP FIP (0.4pp). Nationals has the edge in SP xFIP (0.6pp). Nationals has the edge in Bullpen FIP (0.3pp).

Batting & Roster — Nationals has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Nationals has the edge in WAR (1.1pp). Nationals has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.6pp). Nationals has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).

Situational — Rockies has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Rockies has the edge in Park Factor (0.6pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Rockies ahead by 11pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP: 4.83 / 4.8
SP xFIP: 4.71 / 4.51
Bullpen FIP: 4.83 / 4.8
Lineup wOBA: 0.326 / 0.335
WAR: 7.08 / 20.78
Lineup xwOBA: 0.309 / 0.331
Barrel%: 6.7 / 9.1

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Rockies win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

Nationals @ Rockies · final [15%, 85%] clamp