ARI vs ATH
Final: ATH 5 - 15 ARI
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Diamondbacks has the edge in SP FIP (7.8pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in SP xFIP (0.3pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Bullpen FIP (6.5pp).
Batting & Roster — Athletics has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.1pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in WAR (0.2pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.1pp).
Situational — Diamondbacks has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Diamondbacks ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.35 / 5
- SP xFIP
- 4.49 / 4.59
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.35 / 5
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.313 / 0.314
- WAR
- 13.57 / 10.52
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.313 / 0.31
- Barrel%
- 7 / 7.7
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Diamondbacks win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Athletics @ Diamondbacks · final [15%, 85%] clamp