SEA vs SFG
Final: SFG 3 - 6 SEA
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Mariners has the edge in SP FIP (4.9pp). Mariners has the edge in SP xFIP (1.6pp). Mariners has the edge in Bullpen FIP (4.1pp).
Batting & Roster — Giants has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.4pp). Mariners has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp).
Situational — Mariners has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Giants has the edge in Park Factor (0.3pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Mariners ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 3.75 / 4.16
- SP xFIP
- 3.86 / 4.38
- Bullpen FIP
- 3.75 / 4.16
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.303 / 0.311
- WAR
- 10.67 / 10.45
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.318 / 0.308
- Barrel%
- 7.8 / 7.2
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Mariners win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Giants @ Mariners · final [15%, 85%] clamp