LAD vs ARI
Final: ARI 9 - 3 LAD
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Dodgers has the edge in SP FIP (4.3pp). Dodgers has the edge in SP xFIP (1.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Bullpen FIP (3.6pp).
Batting & Roster — Dodgers has the edge in Lineup wOBA (1.1pp). Dodgers has the edge in WAR (0.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.7pp). Dodgers has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — Dodgers has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Dodgers ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 3.99 / 4.35
- SP xFIP
- 3.91 / 4.49
- Bullpen FIP
- 3.99 / 4.35
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.335 / 0.313
- WAR
- 21.71 / 13.57
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.34 / 0.313
- Barrel%
- 8.8 / 7
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Dodgers win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Diamondbacks @ Dodgers · final [15%, 85%] clamp