KCR vs PHI
Final: PHI 6 - 1 KCR
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Phillies has the edge in SP FIP (11pp). Phillies has the edge in SP xFIP (3pp). Phillies has the edge in Bullpen FIP (9.2pp).
Batting & Roster — Royals has the edge in WAR (0.2pp). Phillies has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.2pp).
Situational — Royals has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Royals has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Royals ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.7 / 3.78
- SP xFIP
- 4.55 / 3.55
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.7 / 3.78
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.31 / 0.31
- WAR
- 12.86 / 9.74
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.31 / 0.319
- Barrel%
- 7.9 / 7.4
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Royals win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Phillies @ Royals · final [15%, 85%] clamp