CLE vs CHW

CLE 56%

Final: CHW 5 - 6 CLE

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Guardians has the edge in SP FIP (3.1pp). Guardians has the edge in SP xFIP (1.2pp). Guardians has the edge in Bullpen FIP (2.6pp).

Batting & Roster — White Sox has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.7pp). White Sox has the edge in WAR (0.2pp). White Sox has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp). White Sox has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).

Situational — Guardians has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Guardians ahead by 11pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP: 3.9 / 4.16
SP xFIP: 3.9 / 4.3
Bullpen FIP: 3.9 / 4.16
Lineup wOBA: 0.304 / 0.318
WAR: 13.67 / 15.73
Lineup xwOBA: 0.305 / 0.317
Barrel%: 6.3 / 8.4

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Guardians win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

White Sox @ Guardians · final [15%, 85%] clamp