SFG vs ATL
Final: ATL 3 - 1 SFG
AI Analysis Summary
Pitching — Braves has the edge in SP FIP (0.8pp). Braves has the edge in SP xFIP (0.9pp). Braves has the edge in Bullpen FIP (0.7pp).
Batting & Roster — Braves has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Braves has the edge in WAR (0.3pp). Braves has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.3pp). Braves has the edge in Barrel% (0.1pp).
Situational — Giants has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Braves has the edge in Park Factor (0.3pp).
Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Giants ahead by 11pp.
7 Factor Breakdown
- SP FIP
- 4.16 / 4.09
- SP xFIP
- 4.38 / 4.08
- Bullpen FIP
- 4.16 / 4.09
- Lineup wOBA
- 0.311 / 0.321
- WAR
- 10.45 / 14.38
- Lineup xwOBA
- 0.308 / 0.32
- Barrel%
- 7.2 / 9
Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)
Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Giants win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.
Braves @ Giants · final [15%, 85%] clamp