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MoneyBallScore

ARI vs LAA

ARI 56%

Final: LAA 7 - 0 ARI

AI Analysis Summary

Pitching — Angels has the edge in SP FIP (1pp). Angels has the edge in SP xFIP (0.7pp). Angels has the edge in Bullpen FIP (0.8pp).

Batting & Roster — Diamondbacks has the edge in Lineup wOBA (0.5pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in WAR (0.5pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Lineup xwOBA (0.2pp).

Situational — Diamondbacks has the edge in Home Advantage (5.6pp). Diamondbacks has the edge in Park Factor (0.1pp).

Combining 7 sabermetric factors, the quantitative model sees a slight edge with Diamondbacks ahead by 11pp.

7 Factor Breakdown

SP FIP
4.35 / 4.27
SP xFIP
4.49 / 4.27
Bullpen FIP
4.35 / 4.27
Lineup wOBA
0.313 / 0.304
WAR
13.57 / 7.58
Lineup xwOBA
0.313 / 0.306
Barrel%
7 / 8.1

Cumulative Factor Impact (waterfall)

Starts at a neutral 50% → each factor's impact accumulates → final Diamondbacks win probability. Right (green) = home favored / left (red) = away favored. Elo/recent form/head-to-head/defense SFR are unimplemented MLB placeholders (always neutral) and are omitted from this chart.

Angels @ Diamondbacks · final [15%, 85%] clamp